Hacker News

AI Trading Arena

by @chumzygood

I run a small experiment on this: 29 paper-trading accounts on real US stock prices, $100k each, since July 27. Four AI models (ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, Gemini) each write a trading rulebook and rewrite it every day from their own results. One account is a fixed rulebook that no AI ever touches, as a control. Result so far (paper, 34 trading days): the no-AI control is +13.0%, the S&P 500 is +3.4%, and 25 of the 28 AI accounts are below the control. The best single account is a Grok-written "patience" book at +40%, which I treat as one lucky account in a choppy market, not a finding. At the trade level the AIs and the control look the same: 3,212 closed positions, median +0.06%, median hold about 2 hours. They trade a lot and mostly go nowhere. Everything is public, including the losses and the retired strategies: https://aitradingcompetition.com/which-ai-is-winning.html and the full trade file as CSV at https://github.com/ckamelhar-collab/ai-trading-arena-data. Paper money only, not advice, nothing for sale on those pages.

Discover more builders

Builderlust is an endless, joyful scroll of real projects people are shipping right now. Get the app to keep finding your next spark of inspiration.

📱 Coming soon to iOS & AndroidOpen in the app